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Friday Box Office Estimates (2/5/2010): Dear John Opens in First With $13.8M; Avatar Second With $6.2M, From Paris with Love Opens Poorly With $3.0M

Update: Click through the jump to see the Friday chart with the final actual data.

Original article follows below.

Screen Gems’ romantic drama Dear John starring Amanda Seyfried and Channing Tatum unexpectedly eclipsed Avatar in its opening day, drawing an impressive estimated $13.8 million to Avatar‘s estimated $6.2 million.  After seven straight weekends at #1, Avatar will not carry the weekend. The new domestic cume for the film — through 50 days — is now $612.693 million.  Overseas numbers for Friday have not yet been released, but through Thursday Avatar had grossed $1.499 billion overseas which would put its current worldwide cume at $2.112 billion.

Dear John should gross somewhere around $30-35 million, but Avatar will still have an incredibly solid eighth weekend with $20-25 million which means there’s still a shot at it breaking the eighth weekend box office record (Titanic‘s $23.028 million).

The other new release this weekend was Pierre Morel’s From Paris with Love, and the film failed to deliver the sort of numbers Morel’s last feature (Taken) took in.  The John Travolta/Jonathan Rhys Meyers action drama took in a very disappointing $3.0 million on Friday and is only expected to gross $7-9 million for the weekend.  That’s a far cry from last year’s Taken ($24.717 million). Head on over the jump for more analysis and the daily chart.

Rounding out the top five was Edge of Darkness in fourth place with an estimated $2.315 million (est. $24.407 million domestic cume) and When in Rome in fifth place with an estimated $2.0 million (est. $17.396 million domestic cume).

Best Actor Oscar contender Crazy Heart added 580 theaters this weekend (to 819) and grossed a solid $1.075 million in eighth place (#3 in per theater average among the top 10 films), pushing its domestic cume to $8.613 million through 52 days in release.

The Tooth Fairy took sixth place with an estimated $1.65 million (est. $29.483 million domestic cume) and The Book of Eli finished in seventh place with an estimated $1.515 million (est. $78.843 million domestic cume).

Rounding out the top 10, Legion finished in ninth place with an estimated $1.06 million (est. $32.338 million domestic cume) and Sherlock Holmes was 10th with an estimated $785,000.  Sherlock Holmes with pass $200 million domestically sometime tonight (it’s at $199.734 million).

Daily chart for Friday, February 5, 2010 [Update: Chart now includes the final actual data for Friday]

Rank Movie Friday Gross
Percent Change from Thursday Theaters
1 Dear John $13,764,704 NEW 2,969
2 Avatar $6,160,319 +127.8% 3,000
3 From Paris with Love $2,948,715 NEW 2,722
4 Edge of Darkness $2,309,962 +117.3%
5 When in Rome $2,053,604 +198.9%
6 The Tooth Fairy $1,635,295 +375.8%
7 The Book of Eli $1,515,860 +124.8%
8 Crazy Heart $1,087,578 +376.4%
9 Legion $1,062,849 +106.0%
10 Sherlock Holmes $782,417 +138.5%

Source: Box Office Mojo